Monday, 26 February 2024

Raila Odinga Winning Strategy

 Raila Odinga Has run several presidential campaigns but have not been able to win and be sworn in as the president of the Country. I have considered some of the strategies which if considered can help him secure a chance in future. Incase he is not considered for the AUC Position this Man still have a chance of becoming the President of this Nation.


Broadening his Appeal: Odinga could work on expanding his appeal beyond his traditional support base to attract voters from diverse demographic groups and regions. This could involve articulating policies and messages that resonate with a wider cross-section of the population. For instance a massage that well resonates with the youths across the country.


Building Strong Alliances: Forming strategic alliances with other political parties or leaders can help Odinga consolidate support and broaden his electoral coalition. Collaborating with like-minded individuals and groups can strengthen his position and increase his chances of success.


Strengthening Campaign Infrastructure: Investing in campaign infrastructure, including grassroots organizing, voter mobilization efforts, and technology-driven outreach, can enhance Odinga's ability to connect with voters and turn out support on election day.


Addressing Voter Concerns: Odinga should prioritize addressing key issues and concerns that are important to voters, such as unemployment, healthcare, education, and corruption. Offering concrete solutions to these challenges can resonate with voters and demonstrate his commitment to addressing their needs.


Ensuring Electoral Integrity: Upholding the integrity of the electoral process and ensuring that elections are free, fair, and transparent is essential for public trust and confidence. Odinga should advocate for electoral reforms, monitor the electoral process closely, and take action to address any irregularities or violations.


Engaging with Youth and Marginalized Groups: Engaging with young voters and marginalized groups, who often represent significant voting blocs, can strengthen Odinga's support base. Developing policies and programs that address the needs and aspirations of these groups can help mobilize their support.


Building a Positive Campaign Narrative: Odinga should focus on promoting a positive campaign narrative that highlights his vision for the country, his track record of leadership and accomplishments, and his plans for the future. Avoiding negative campaigning and focusing on inspiring and uniting voters can help build momentum and support.

Thursday, 6 September 2018

People commit  not to mastery  if you  want a great  job set  up  yourself for  process . Success is simply  clear  goal and do something  everyday. Form good habits and  make them your  habits. Most  people  do what is  easy not  what is required. discipline do what  you can, learning is the beginning of life change, dont be lazy  in learning   what  you  want, when you have the  idea it is time  act  you dont  have to know  it  perfectly successful  people  do they  dont get excuse, dont be pessimistic. Your excuses . All the things that happening to me  are keeping  me form doing what  i need to do today. Trade your  expectation for appreciations Remind yourefl I am more than this  how can I use his to get  up level If you  look  uo in your life  something  horrible and 10 years to come I  dont want to regret  when you cange the way you look at things the things you look at change, Most people dont master their minds and  instead believe their thoughts. If you decide  I am hundred  percent responsible for anything that happen in my  life. Change your  thoughts and  you change your world. I am not going to wait for anybody to change me take responsibility for  your  life
Psalm 46:10 “Be still and know that I am God; I will be exalted among the nations, I will be exalted over the earth.” 

The  Purest Life  of  yourself knowing  you  deserve and  worthy of what  creation has to offer.
Risk is  component  of progress. Figure out what. Finish the only work left for me after failing in a large scale. Living  cautiously is failing in default. 

Everybody  is great at something  effort makes the difference in creating a company. It does not  matter  how many times  you fail success can come in an overnight.
Believing in your ideals and sticking to them unlike  believing in unrealistic dreams. What  success looks like to you hold unto that  and  work towards  that. Goal setting  make  your  goals down. Trust your guides and  be prepared for opportunities.Nothing is impossible keep running  through the walls.




Thursday, 16 August 2018

MIGRATION AND SETTLEMENT OF LINGUISTIC GROUPS IN KENYA
Introduction:
Between 1000-1800 AD, East Africa experienced a wave of migrations
from different parts of Africa. The Bantu from the Congo or the Niger
Delta Basin were the first to arrive, followed by   the Luo from Bahr
el Ghazel in Southern Sudan and then the Ngoni from Southern Africa.

The study of migrations will help the learners to understand their
origin and settlement patterns, appreciate the interrelationship
between the different peoples of East Africa like cultures, customs,
etc. They will also understand change and continuity in societies i.e.
life is not static but dynamic and this explains the current movements
of people to different parts of East Africa.
BANTU MIGRATION
Who were the Bantu?
The term Bantu refers to group of people who speak the same or similar
language with common word “NTU” which means a person. The
Bantu-speaking groups include the  Baganda, Banyoro, Batoro in Uganda,
Kikuyu, Akamba, Meru, Embu, Taita, Giryama, Digo in Kenya and Pokomo,
Chagga, Yao,  Segeju, Zaramo in Tanzania, as well as many other
smaller groups.

Origins
There are two versions explaining the migration of the Bantu.  The
first version asserts that the Bantu came from West Africa around the
Cameroon Highlands and Baunchi plateau of Nigeria; therefore, this
points to the Niger basin as the possible cradle land of the Bantu.
The second version posits that the Bantu came from the Katanga region
in Southeastern Congo.  Gradually they spread eastward north of the
forest and southward to the forest’s edge near the lower Congo or
Zaire and lower Kasai. The occupation of the north western (Cameroon-
Gabon) was fairly slow due to difference in languages. Else where
especially in eastern and southern Africa beginning at the edge of the
forest, the spread must have been fast due to the relationship in
languages.

Description of their movements and settlementede

The Bantu is believed to have moved in four groupfuyhks.  These groups
were; Interlacustrine Bantu, Central Bantu, Highland Bantu and
Southern Tanzania Bantu.



i)      Interlacustrine Bantu or Western Bantu
This group was also referred to as the lake region Bantu.  They
entered East Africa between L. Edward and Albert and settled in the
areas North and West of L. Victoria between 1000 – 1300 AD.  They were
basically agriculturists.  Others moved west to Kenya and Eastern
Uganda.

ii)     Central Bantu
These moved into East Africa between L. Edward and L. Tanganyika and
first settled in Central Tanzania between 1000 –1300 AD for example,
the Sukuma and Nyamwezi.  Others later crossed and settled in Tanzania
Plateau and Taita Hills around 1300 AD. Others moved north.

iii)    Highland Bantu
These settled in the Kenya Highlands around 1600 –1800 AD.  These
include the Kamba, Kikuyu, Embu, Chuka.  They probably moved north
from the Taita hills. Some writers have suggested that about 1300 the
Chuka came up from the Tana river and were the first to arrive in the
Mt. Kenya area. The Embu followed them, about 1425. The last group,
the Kikuyu seem to have arrived in the Muranga by the middle of the
16th Century and in Kiambu by the end of the 17th Century.  The
migration of the Emba further was halted by the Masaai.  The
migrations of the Meru and related groups probably began at the Coast.

iv)     Southern Tanzania Bantu
This group entered through L. Malawi and L. Tanganyika.  They are also
believed to Have come from East Africa around 1000 – 1300.  This group
includes the Bena, Yao, Hehe.

According to the tradition between about 1591 and 1698, the Swahili
sections of Kilidini, Changamwe and Tangana moved to Mombasa and
formed Kalindini town. Where they had earlier migrated from Shungwaya
because of attacks by the Galla and Somali. The Segeju and various
sections of the Milikenda and other Swahili groups to join the
Kilindini group and related peoples on the mainland behind Mombasa
later joined them.

The Pokomo and Segeju traditions also suggest the theory of dispersal
from Shunguwaya. The Pokomo say that they descended from Shunguwaya
Bantu immigrants. However, due to contacts with other groups, they
became a mixed community with Galla, Swahili, Segeju and Somali blood.
 The Segeju believed that in the second half of the 7th Century the
Galla attacked their ancestors. One group fled to the Lamu islands and
nearby areas where they intermarried with the local Swahili to form
the present Bajun or Tikuu. A second group fled to the lower Tana  and
ancestors of present- day Buu section of the Segeju left the lower
Tana and moved to the present homes.

Causes/reasons for the Bantu migration
The reasons for the migration of the Bantu are not known but they most
likely included the following;

1. Drought and famine: they moved due to the fear of famine, which
broke out due to overcrowding and drought. The climate in their cradle
land had become unreliable/unpredictable.

2. Population increase which resulted into over crowding: they
migrated due to population pressure, e.g. they became overpopulated in
their cradle land. This led to the scarcity of grazing and agriculture
land, and so they had to move to look for more land, both for
agriculture and for their cattle.

3. The constant attacks (external pressure) from stronger tribes in
West Africa and the Nile valley. They moved due to external pressure,
especially due to the migration of the Arabs into West Africa. The
Arabs were believed to be more hostile, and so Africans were forced to
move southwards.

4. Internal conflicts from the Bantu tribes: they migrated due to
internal misunderstandings/conflicts between the different clans.
These conflicts concerned the ownership of agriculture area, the
shortage of grazing lands and watering areas.

5. Epidemics and diseases/natural calamities: the Bantu moved due to
natural disasters, e.g. earthquakes, over flooding of rivers like
river Niger, sickness, diseases such as Nagana caused by Tsetse flies,
sleeping sickness e.t.c.

6. Search for fertile land: since they were predominantly farmers, the
Bantu migrated in order to find more land which could be more fertile
than the cradle land, which could no longer support them. E.g. they
had changed from hunting and gathering fruits, to farming and had even
discovered new crops such as yams, banana, and e.t.c

7. Love for adventure: they moved due to their desire for adventure,
i.e. they wanted to find out what was happening in other areas.

8. Group influence:

9. Need for water and pasture for their animals.

10. The Bantu migrated in order to export their iron-working culture.
They had discovered the knowledge of iron working and had invented
iron tools. These iron tools had transformed the agricultural sector
by making the clearing of land fro cultivation faster and more
efficient.

Effects of the Bantu migration.
The results of the Bantu migration were both positive and negative.
Positive results.
1. Introduction of iron working: they introduced iron-working and the
use of iron tools in the interior of East Africa were at first using
stone tolls but when iron-smelting was started, there was an increase
in food production.

2. Introduction of new crops e.g. yams, bananas: the Bantu introduced
and increased the knowledge of food and extensive crop cultivation.
Earlier on, the inhabitants of East Africa were food gatherers, but
with iron smelting and its results, food production seriously started.

3. Introduction of new language.

4. The absorbed other tribes e.g. the gathers: they led to a
widespread Bantu languages of “NTU” prefix in East Africa.

5. They displaced some people. The Ngoni displaced the Yao.

6. They introduced centralized administration: they introduced a
centralized system of government whereby the king acted as the overall
ruler, under whom were the other chiefs, down to the lay person.

7. Introduced a system of building permanent homes. They opened new
land to settlement in families, clans and villages.

8. The knowledge of iron smelting which the Bantu introduced led to
the making of hoes and pangas for tilling and clearing land, the bows,
arrows and spears for defense and protection.

9. They introduced subsistence agriculture, whereby they grew enough
food for home consumption, and the rest could be kept in case of
shortages, or be exchanged in barter trade.

10. They led to a rise of large states and bigger tribes in East
Africa, e.g. the Baganda, Kikuyu, Nyamwezi. e.t.c

Negative effects.

1. The Bantu migration led to depopulation. This was caused by the
frequent attacks made by the Bantu against the people East Africa for
land, through wars. Many people died through these wars, e.g. the
Zimba would attack people at the coast, kill them, and eat their fresh
(i.e. cannibalism).

2. There was loss of culture due to cultural absorption. This was
brought about due to Bantu intermarrying with the non- Bantu peoples,
whom they came across.
3. There was transformation of languages into new ones. This led to
the dying down of some of the Bantu languages, while others remained.
Significance of devolution
Though limited in some ways, devolution represents a major transformation of the state and undoubtedly, in course of time, of society. It reverses the system of control and authority established by the colonial powers and perpetuated by successive presidents. Two major, interrelated, defining features of that system were the centralisation of power in the president and the battery of state coercive power.  Through devolution, the new constitution deals to some extent with the first feature, but it is clear that its provisions to cure the second have been not been honoured by the government. The struggle for the dispersal and sharing of state power on a regional basis started before independence. Devolution opens the prospects of fundamental, progressive changes in politics and economy, but these positive changes are not guaranteed. Devolution has been a controversial subject, and it cannot be said that the constitution, any more than the Bomas draft, provides a carefully thought out scheme. However, the best option for Kenyans now is to make it work in accordance with the spirit of the constitution—and the wishes of a significant majority of the people. 
What is devolution
First a word about what devolution is. It is a system under which certain governmental powers are exercised by the  counties, not by the national government, and through  institutions elected by their people,. Counties can make law about, and administer these matters. They have resources, from the national government and those they raise in the county. The authority and institutions of the counties and their relationship with the national government are established in and protected by the constitution. In this way devolution is an integral part of Kenya’s constitutional system. No changes can be made to it except by an amendment of the constitution. Amendments will require the approval of two-thirds of all the members of the National Assembly and the Senate (voting separately) and support in a referendum. 
History
The movement for devolution was prompted in large part because of the centralisation of the state, particularly the system of provincial administration (PA). PA was the bedrock of colonial administration: directly under the control of the governor, the PA dominated other governmental agencies in the field. It was responsible for law and order, and so had greater authority than even the police. The Administration Police were an essential component of the PA, and like it, directly accountable to the governor. The long arm of the PA reached from the provincial capital to small villages. The absence of a law on the PA meant effectively that there were no restrictions on its activities, although in this respect it was not much different from other colonial agencies. The provincial commissioner was without doubt the most powerful person in the province, as the district commissioner was in the district. 
Just before independence there was a movement (majimbo) for the transfer of significant powers to regions, largely based on provinces. A primary reason was to eliminate the PA system. The plan was that central government would discharge its functions in the regions through regional authorities.  However Jomo Kenyatta and his close associates did not like this sharing of power and within a year repealed majimbo (after suitably bribing the members of the Senate)In due course the authority of the PA was fully restored and Kenyatta made as much use of the PA as had Governor Baring during the emergency. The PA along with administration police,  remains the most powerful arm of the government, indispensable to presidential rule—hence the dispute over the creation of county commissioners (to be discussed in another article).
A key trigger for the fight of the people against Moi was the abuse of the enormous state and economic power that had been centralised in the office of the presidency. A major demand during the struggle was the dispersal of power, both vertically and horizontally. Devolution was adopted as an objective in the famous Safari Park national conferences in the 1990s. The Constitution of Kenya Review Act 2000 required the CKRC to consider people’s participation through the devolution of power; respect for ethnic and regional diversity and communal rights including the right of communities to organise and participate in cultural activities and the expression of their identities. It was to review the place of local government, the degree of the devolution of power to local authorities, and options for federal and unitary systems.
What the people told the CKRC
Wherever the CKRC went, it noted widespread feelings of alienation from   central  government because   of  this  concentration  of  power  in  the  national government,  and  to  a  remarkable  extent,  in  the  president.  People felt marginalised and neglected, deprived of  their  resources;  and   victimised   for  their  political or  ethnic  affiliations.  Provinces or districts which did not support the president were penalised in terms of development and resources. People felt  that  under  both  presidential  regimes,  certain ethnic groups had been favoured, and others discriminated against. There was particular resentment  of  the PA which was seen  as an extension  of the  president’s  office, and  of  the arbitrariness  and   abuse  of  power   by  its officials. Many had doubts about the  legitimacy  of  the  administration  police,  wanting  forms  of community  policing  at  local  levels. Local government  had  lost  its  authority  and  had  been  deprived  of  financial  resources  since independence.
They  considered  that  their  problems  arose  from  government  policies  over which  they  had  no  control.  Decisions were made far away from  them.  These  decisions did not reflect the reality under which they lived, the constraints and privations which they suffered. They had lost access to markets for their agricultural products because roads had  been  allowed   to  fall into disrepair.  Clinics did not have essential medicines.
Land   disputes  were   rampant,   and   land  registries far  away,  leading  to alienation  of  their  land  that  they  could  neither  comprehend  nor  do  much  about.  As their  poverty  deepened,  they  could  see  the  affluence  of  others:  politicians,  senior  civil servants,  cronies  of  the  regime.  Almost everywhere the people wanted the state restructured. Most asked for the devolution of power to local levels and greater role for community organisations.
Constitutional Proposals for devolution
CKRC and Bomas
CKRC established detailed proposals for devolution, beginning its with objectives, and covering powers and institutions of devolved units, and their relationship with the national government, including funding for devolved activities. Several matters of detail were left to be dealt with in legislation. But it did propose structures right down to village level.
The proposals were received favourably on the whole by Bomas delegates (even though some groups were opposed in principle to the idea of devolution, including Kibaki and his ministers). No disagreement was expressed with respect to the objectives of devolution. The major disagreement was on what should be the principal unit of devolution.
One group favoured the district, the other the region. The CKRC had chosen the district but found some co-ordinating role for the province. At Bomas a compromise was struck by giving provinces somewhat enhanced powers. Bomas accepted CKRC proposal to abolish the PA (but not administration police). However, Kibaki’s government sabotaged the draft as is well known,producing what is known as the Wako draft which was offered to, but rejected by the people, in a referendum in 2005.
Wako Draft
The Wako draft omitted altogether the concept of “devolution”, reverting to “local government”. It proposed only one sub-national unit—the district. Districts would have law making powers (though not as many as in the CKRC or Bomas drafts). But the national government could override district laws even if on a subject under  the district list.
There was little detail about  how district authorities would be constituted. The Wako draft rejected a second chamber to safeguard the interests of districts. Nor would there have been any provinces, which might have acted as some kind of buffer between the centre and districts.
There was no financial allocation to districts. There would have been  112 districts: so small that they would inevitably  have had limited resources and been unable to stand up to interference by the centre. Nor did it abolish provincial administration, or the administration police (which presumably would have operated as arms of the President’s Office). The creation and dissolution of districts would depend ultimately on decisions of the President. Overall, districts would have been little more than glorified local authorities. It is widely believed that the elimination of devolution was a primary cause of the rejection of the Wako Draft.
2010 Constitution
The 2010 Constitution largely followed the Bomas scheme. The Committee of Experts was faced with the same dilemmas as had vexed CKRC and Bomas, namely the levels and numbers of devolved units. At first it supported the idea of 3 levels (unlike the 5 of the CKRC and 3 of Bomas). But later it opted for a single lower level to avoid a “complex system”. The units at that level were labelled counties and their boundaries largely followed district boundaries drawn as part of independence arrangements. 
Objectives of devolution
A special feature of devolution in Kenya is the close attention given to its objectives and principles (in line with the general approach of the Constitution to the exercise of state power). In many countries devolution is seen merely as the sharing of power, neutral perhaps as to how that power would be exercised. In Kenya devolution was seen as necessary to achieve various values and principles. To some extent, the objectives can also be seen as a response to the dire consequences of devolution that critics predicted (such as secession, oppression of minorities within the county, the breakup of the country, expense and lack of capacity). 
The best way to understand the objectives of devolution is to examine Articles 174  and 175 (which have remained unchanged from the CKRC draft).  In addition, county governments are bound by the constitutional principles in Article 10 and chapter 6 on integrity. Article 174’s 9 objectives can be consolidated into the following principal objectives (with some overlap between them).
Diversity
A major reason for devolution ever since before independence has been the recognition of Kenya’s diversity. Article 174 places special emphasis on self government, particularly the rights of minorities and marginalised communities, and other groups, to manage their own affairs and development. Article 175 requires the promotion of gender equity and equality in counties.
National unity
Throughout the Constitution diversity and national unity are balanced, almost two sides of the same coin. So it is with devolution. The former centralised system under a powerful presidency tended to ethnicise politics and politics of exclusion. Now devolution provides many sites of power, reducing the danger of exclusion. The assumption is that through democracy, recognition of diversity, and forms of self-government, all communities will feel part of the country, with increased loyalty. The rules about inter-dependence and co-operation between the national and county governments should strengthen national unity. The emphasis is on inclusion of all groups at both national and county level.  
Democracy and accountability
A major deficit of democracy in Kenya has been the absence of people’s involvement in politics and policy discussions, or their ability to demand accountability of the government. Even in the five-yearly elections their horizon has been circumscribed by tribalism. The location and exercise of powers about the everyday needs of the people should provide the foundations of participatory politics. Devolution creates more opportunities for the people to choose their leaders, and great expansion in public participation. Democracy should also be strengthened by separation of powers and checks and balances through new centres of authority. People   in  rural  and  urban    areas  will be  able  to  decide  for  themselves   (or  influence decisions) on many matters of local concern and to  participate in greater number of debates, and elections. Governments and officials at closer proximity to them may become more responsive and be compelled to be more accountable. Ordinary people will be able to demand information and accountability, which at the national level is left to a few NGOs.
 Promoting economic and social development
  Devolution is expected to lead to more  rapid  and  balanced economic and social  development. The centralised   system,    with   the  concentration of all government institutions  and  decision making    in  Nairobi,  led  to  the  concentration   of  economic activities  in  the  capital  city  area,    to  uneven  development  and        disparities  of  economic  opportunities. This resulted in the impoverishment of            many regions and communities and the drift towards urban areas. With new governments in counties,  there will be greater   incentives   and   opportunities    for  economic    and   social  development  throughout the country. 
County governments will actively promote growth and seek to achieve a high degree of self-sufficiency, and respond to local needs and circumstances. People will enjoy easier availability of services There will emerge new   centres   of  growth,   in which  people  have  opportunities for investment and employment. Efficiency should come from local knowledge. And the incentive to create capacity and skills locally lies in the rule that devolved functions will be transferred to a county only if has the capacity to discharge them. And counties will no doubt compete with each other.
Promoting Equitable Distribution of Resources
There  has  been  much  debate  as  to  whether  devolution  will  lead  to  a  more   equitable                   distribution of  resources;, some people think a centralised government is more  likely to achieve this. But in Kenya many counties outside three or so major urban areas have done poorly, and even in urban areas the main beneficiaries are often not the local people. The Constitution now requires the equitable sharing of national and local resources throughout Kenya.  The scheme of the financing of counties is biased in favour of the less developed areas—though perhaps not sufficiently so.
Achieving objectives
These values and objectives are woven into the fabric and structure of devolution and in the relationship between the national and county governments. But it is no good being too starry-eyed about devolution. The global record shows some significant successes and some spectacular failures. Circumstances are more propitious than they were for majimbo. That was a defensive measure, born out of fear, to secure for smaller communities  some powers  of  self-government.  In Bomas  the  demand  for  devolution  was  for  positive  reasons:  to strengthen national  unity, protect diversity, and reinforce democracy. At independence  there   was  secessionist activity in one part of the country. At  Bomas  there  was  universal  acceptance  of  the  undivided sovereignty  of  Kenya,  and  a  deep  commitment  to  the  concept  of  a  single  and   equal   citizenship for members of all communities. This devolution has been negotiated among Kenyans over a long period and is the result of compromises—not an imposition by a departing colonial power. And unlike with majimbo, people of all counties have welcomed devolution and are looking forward to participating in its affairs

Tuesday, 26 January 2016

global crisis

We live in a time of tumultuous global change, crisis, uncertainty, and potential. As the UN
strives to keep pace with economic and financial stringencies, climate change, and food
insecurity, with shifting fulcrums of power, the Arab spring and the Occupy movements,
what will it take to meet urgent new needs? Beyond strategies, politics, and competencies,
organizational culture is critical. The UN has developed a range of formal and informal
arrangements to apply its principles. These reflect the history of the organization, as well
as the interests and resources of the system’s actors. In the organization’s culture, formal
adherence to impartiality, geographic representation, and professionalism are nuanced
by practical institutional measures, management approaches, and values dilemmas that,
inter alia, may foster myopia, risk-aversion, and competition. Efforts towards coherence
and system functioning include interagency collaborations, “Delivering as One,” agency
consolidation, and the human-rights-based approach. Progress toward a more fully valuesaligned
culture, higher level system functioning, and greater responsiveness to its broadest
constituencies, will signal strides toward meeting twenty-first century needs and more
sustainable realization of the UN mission.